dynamics of residential property markets and the stock market in Hong Kong

  • 16 Pages
  • 1.39 MB
  • English
City Polytechnic of Hong Kong , Kowloon, Hong Kong
Housing -- Prices -- China -- Hong Kong -- Mathematical models., Stocks -- Prices -- China -- Hong Kong -- Mathematical mo
StatementYuming Fu, W.K. Leung & Wai Chung Lo.
SeriesTechnical report / Asia-Pacific Financial & Forecasting Research Centre -- no. 94-3, Technical report (City Polytechnic of Hong Kong. Asia-Pacific Financial & Forecasting Research Centre) -- no. 94-3.
ContributionsLeung, Wai Kin, 1952-, Lo, Wai Chung.
The Physical Object
Pagination16 p. :
ID Numbers
Open LibraryOL21235660M

Hong Kong is thereforeof interest to analysts and policymakers everywhere, not least because of Hong Kong's political reintegration with China in With this in mind, the authors have managed to capture the key economic features of the private residential real estate market in Hong Kong in.

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evaluate the risk of residential real estate market in Hong Kong. Additionally, the recursive relationship between structure ad cycles is important to understand property markets, the dynamics among the three submarkets of Hong Kong are being studied in the paper too.

The. Hong Kong’s property market is the most expensive in the world, outperforming places like Singapore and Sydney. DBS also predicts that the supply of residential property will remain low in Hong Kong through towith aro new primary units built each year.

Having some of the lowest yields in the region and the most. More than ever before, Hong Kong is an end-user residential market.

As long as governments, economies and the people who work in them can keep the coronavirus pandemic from worsening, that pent up. less significant in Hong Kong. Rough estimates based on the owner-occupation rate in the private residential sector and the latter’s share in the total housing sector suggest that about % of the households in Hong Kong own a private residential property.

The share is significantly lower than that of over 70% in the US and UK, for example. Property Price Increase Moderates. Trade-up Properties Become Top Investment Choice. The Outlook focused on the private residential market, with the goal of determining the direction of the Hong Kong property market.

In addition, it aimed to ascertain the type of private homes with the highest investment returns in the current market environment. The return of Hong Kong’s residential property bull market tests the city government’s policy response to tame runaway prices The price index of pre-owned homes.

Residential property capital values are expected to rise 10%, with the luxury segment outperforming mass residential.

The upside could be as much as 20% growth under the right market conditions. Record high prices being achieved in the market and supply of rare luxury units will maintain buying interest, and this could support to further price.

Hong Kong hosts the fifth largest stock exchange and largest initial public offering market in the world as of and has one of the greatest concentrations of corporate headquarters in the Asia-Pacific region.

One in seven households is a millionaire in U.S. dollars, with real estate representing 70% of assets, according to a Citibank. Hong Kong´s residential property market has risen relentlessly for four years, but a severe price correction now threatens. A combination of a surge in new supply, cooling measures, and an impending interest rate rise – dubbed the “perfect storm” by the country’s finance secretary – looms over the countr y’s property market.

Description dynamics of residential property markets and the stock market in Hong Kong PDF

Residential property prices in Hong Kong are still. This paper studies the extent to which real estate prices impact common stock prices in Hong Kong. Real estate-related firms account for over 30 percent of Hong Kong's stock market capitalization.

The real estate markets are therefore major determinants of changes in common stock prices. In a new era of slower Chinese economic growth, what are the implications of a wave of declining demand from Mainland Chinese companies, investors and tourists alike on Hong Kong’s commercial, retail and residential property markets.

Denis Ma, JLL’s Head of Research for Hong Kong, talks about China’s current and future role in driving the local property market. Henry Mok, Senior Director of Capital Markets at JLL in Hong Kong said, "The luxury residential market has always been more volatile.

Buying and selling decisions generally depend on market sentiment. On the other hand, the mass market is driven by the supply and demand dynamics in Hong Kong. property market boom in and the persistent high inflation rates in Hong Kong. Government intervention in property and housing markets will have serious consequences for Hong Kong's economy, with repercussions for financial markets and public finances.

Mass residential capital values in Hong Kong have declined further as buying sentiment cools. However, there are still examples of strong sell-through rates for new projects.

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Read our latest snapshot of the Hong Kong office, residential, retail and industrial property markets. Additional Physical Format: Online version: Renaud, Bertrand, Markets at work. Hong Kong: Hong Kong University Press, © (OCoLC) Knight Frank Hong Kong research produces market-leading residential, commercial and agricultural property reports and bespoke consultancy projects.

Hong Kong's local residential property market is determined by affordability and employment rate, says Georg Chmiel of Tue, Sep 3 AM EDT. This paper develops a methodology to identify asset price response to news in the framework of the Campbell–Shiller log‐linear present‐value equation.

We further show that a slow price adjustment in. Prices of new condo projects face significant downward pressure in Based on JLL's latest Hong Kong Residential Market Monitor Report, only 40 apartment flats from two new mass residential projects have been launched in the primary market one month after the Chinese New Year (Janu ), compared to the past three years' average of around flats.

Asian markets start the week strong after positive economic data Nov. 15, at p.m. ET by Associated Press Asian markets retreat as global economy appears likely to. Clustering analysis of property market indicators in Hong Kong Tighter credit and weaker economic prospects stemming from the global credit crisis have weighed on Hong Kong’s property prices and transaction volumes.

This has raised concerns about the vulnerability of the domestic property market to the current downturn. Such is the resilience of Hong Kong's people, as well as its property market.

The writer is a managing partner at Havenport Investments, an independent asset management and wealth services company. Havenport, like other boutique fund managers, structures secured lending solutions for accredited investors, and has investments in Hong Kong.

Major statistics available: Reviewing the state of the property market in the previous calendar year. It contains quite substantial information and statistical data, compiled on a calendar year basis, including the stock, completions, take-up, vacancy and forecast completions (for 2 years) by main property types; average rents, prices and.

In this paper, we examine price dynamics, cycles and lead-lag relationships between private and public commercial real estate markets. We utilize wavelet technology to capture both the frequency and the time variations of a time series. We find that the long-run trend of prices in public commercial real estate markets is steeper than that of private commercial real estate markets.

Hong Kong's residential property market price decline is just about over. Now, analysts are calling a bottom and saying prices are set to turn upward again. Like SARS, the coronavirus is expected to have a strong but short-lived impact on the market, the property consultancy said.

“Meanwhile, the longer-term market outlook remains to be tied to domestic residential demand and supply dynamics, as well as broader economic conditions,” noted the authors of the report.

Share this now. As a result, the 11 property stocks in the Hong Kong stock exchange’s flagship Hang Seng index have been trading at an average price-to-book-value of times.

Property agents expect the influx of Chinese capital, which has helped Hong Kong become one of the world's most expensive property markets, can once again prop up the sector as China recovers from.

Given the bearish developments across the industry, shares of Hong Kong’s big four property developers – New World Development Company Ltd.

(SEHK: 17), Henderson Land Development Co., Ltd., CK Asset Holdings Ltd, and Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited – have all declined since the beginning of the anti-government protests. Property Market Statistics Hong Kong Property Review Monthly Supplement (December ) (pdf) Entire Data Series.

Private Domestic - Average Rents by Class (from ) Private Domestic - Average Prices by Class (from ) Private Domestic - Rental Indices by Class (Territory-wide) (from ).In Februarytwo lesser known Chinese developers, Logan Property and KWG Property, surprised the market by winning a bid for a residential site in Ap Lei Chau Island, paying a record HK$ billion (US$ billion) for the site near Hong Kong’s newly-opened South Island metro line.

How Local Developers Can Adapt.Kamhon Kan, Sunny Kai‐Sun Kwong, Charles Ka‐Yui Leung, The Dynamics and Volatility of Commercial and Residential Property Prices: Theory and Evidence*, Journal of Regional Science, /jx, 44, 1, (), ().